Trump's Iran deal has a Lebanon-shaped hole in it

At the G7 in Evian, Trump admitted to a 'little dispute' with Netanyahu over Lebanon, which is diplomatic shorthand for a substantive disagreement that could unravel the wider regional settlement he is trying to lock in. Iran and Pakistan say an end to fighting in Lebanon is inside the ceasefire framework. Trump and Israeli officials say it is not, calling Israeli operations there a 'separate skirmish.' Israel currently occupies dozens of villages in southern Lebanon, has killed nearly 3,800 people in a four-month campaign, and has explicitly said its troops will stay indefinitely, regardless of the Iran deal. Negotiations on a gradual Israeli withdrawal are scheduled for Washington on June 22. The practical risk: if Iran treats Lebanon as covered by the ceasefire and Israel keeps striking, the 1.5-page MOU and its 60-day technical talks become a liability rather than a framework. Strait of Hormuz traffic is moving again, with at least seven vessels confirmed, but oil traders should watch June 22 closely.