24 April 2026Top Stories
Collapsing volatility supercharges carry trade returns
Currency volatility hit multi-year lows this week, turning carry trades into the year's most reliable money printer as geopolitical risks fade and central bank policy paths crystallize. Japanese yen funding costs remain near zero while Australian and New Zealand rates offer 4+ percent yields, creating 400+ basis point spreads with minimal downside protection needed. Hedge funds deployed $47bn into carry strategies in January alone, double December's inflows, as algorithmic volatility targeting amplifies the trend. The trade works until it catastrophically doesn't, but positioning data suggests most managers are sizing for the Goldilocks scenario rather than preparing for sudden risk-off events.
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