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US strikes Iran as Taiwan overtakes India in market cap

Military action during peace talks. TSMC drives $2.7tn shift. Doctors call social media the new smoking.

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US strikes Iranian missile sites while peace talks continue

The US military carried out what it called self-defense strikes against Iranian missile sites and minelaying boats near the Strait of Hormuz yesterday, even as diplomatic negotiations remain active. CENTCOM said the targets posed threats to international shipping through the waterway that carries one-fifth of global oil trade, as Anadolu reports. The timing signals Washington is willing to take military action to protect commercial traffic while still pursuing a broader deal. Former strategist Miad Maleki said the limited strikes were likely too small to derail negotiations but add pressure for faster diplomatic progress.

Taiwan overtakes India as world's fifth-largest stock market

Taiwan's equity market has surged to $4.7 trillion, overtaking India's $4.9 trillion after the latter fell 7% this year while Taiwan gained 35%. TSMC alone now accounts for over 40% of Taiwan's main index and carries a $2 trillion market cap, making it one of the world's six most valuable companies as market data shows. The chip giant reported Q1 revenue up 35% to $35.9 billion, with net profit jumping 58% to a record. Global investors are rotating toward Taiwan and South Korea as pure plays on AI semiconductor demand, while India's limited hardware exposure leaves it outside the rally.

UK doctors told to treat heavy social media use like smoking

The Academy of Medical Royal Colleges, representing 250,000 UK doctors, issued guidance telling clinicians to routinely ask children about social media use and treat excessive usage as a major health risk factor. The move follows research showing teens spending more than three hours daily on social platforms have double the risk of mental health problems, as US Surgeon General data confirms. With the average US teenager now spending 3.5 hours daily on social media, most are above the risk threshold. The medical establishment's smoking comparison signals a shift toward treating platform design features as public health hazards rather than neutral technology.

Xiaomi short bets hit record ahead of earnings

Goldman Sachs flagged Xiaomi as a consensus short among institutional investors, with major clients increasing short positions by 53% in one week. The bearish positioning reflects concerns about rising memory chip costs pressuring margins and intensifying competition in China's EV market, as industry reports detail. Xiaomi shares have fallen 44% from their peak, with short sellers booking roughly $1.8 billion in gains. The skepticism comes despite Lei Jun reporting 400,000 cumulative EV deliveries and monthly volumes above 40,000 units, suggesting investors remain unconvinced about the company's ability to offset smartphone pressure with automotive profits.

Next boss warns of dramatic fall in entry-level jobs

Lord Simon Wolfson said Next now receives roughly twice as many applications per entry-level vacancy compared with two years ago, reflecting what he called a dramatic decline in such roles across the economy. The warning aligns with broader data showing new workforce entrants hit a 37-year high as a share of the unemployed in 2025, as Fortune analysis reveals. Entry-level hiring is down 23% versus March 2020 according to LinkedIn, outpacing the 18% decline in overall hiring. Anthropic's CEO has warned that roughly half of entry-level white-collar jobs could disappear within five years due to AI automation of routine cognitive tasks.

Tech & AI

Pope and Anthropic CEO warn of AI power concentration

Pope Leo XIV's first AI encyclical urges the world to disarm artificial intelligence, criticizing the concentration of technological power in a small number of corporations. The 82-page document links AI to economic inequality and autonomous weapons, as Vatican sources confirm. Meanwhile, Anthropic's CEO warned at Davos that advanced AI's signature will likely be very high GDP growth alongside very high unemployment and inequality. He said AI is uniquely well-suited to autocracy, raising concerns about political repression and centralized power. The convergence of religious and tech leadership warnings signals growing elite concern about AI's distributional effects.

UK fintech hiring shifts from neobanks to infrastructure

UK fintech hiring surged 29% in 2025, but the strongest gains went to software engineering and business development roles rather than consumer banking positions. Software engineering and product management vacancies grew over 70%, while payments companies like Wise and SumUp led hiring increases, as recruitment data shows. Wise expanded vacancies by 85% and SumUp by 211%, reflecting a pivot toward B2B infrastructure and away from neobank-centric growth. The shift comes as only two of the 25 largest global neobanks achieved profitability by 2022, pushing investors toward payments and embedded finance platforms with clearer revenue models.

Markets & Economy

Treasury curve signals higher-for-longer under Warsh

The Treasury yield curve has flattened to its tightest level in about a year as markets reprice Fed policy expectations under incoming Chair Kevin Warsh. Thirty-year yields jumped to 4.91% intraday before settling near 4.87%, while the 2-year/10-year spread steepened to roughly 70-72 basis points, as Fidelity data confirms. Fed fund futures now price only 51 basis points of easing over the next year, down from earlier expectations of more aggressive cuts. Warsh's reputation for balance sheet hawkishness and criticism of past QE policies is pushing term premiums higher. Recent Fed minutes emphasized that additional rate hikes remain possible if inflation stays above target.

Asian summer heat threatens gas price surge

Energy analysts warn that a hotter-than-normal Asian summer could significantly tighten global LNG markets, adding upside risk to prices already elevated by Strait of Hormuz disruptions. The waterway, which carries 20% of global crude oil, has been effectively closed for three months, pushing US gasoline prices up roughly 50% from pre-conflict levels. Seasonal patterns typically lift US gas prices by 50 cents per gallon from February lows to Memorial Day highs, but constrained Middle East supply and potential Chinese demand recovery could amplify the move, as EIA data suggests. Asian utilities compete aggressively for spot LNG during heat waves, which could pressure European storage and global benchmarks.

China's carbon data revisions mask emissions growth

Independent analysis by the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air found that China's apparent progress on carbon intensity targets is largely due to retrospective data revisions rather than real emissions cuts. China has revised historical GDP and energy statistics, which mechanically improves reported emissions per unit of GDP and makes climate goals appear closer to achievement. When consistent methodology is applied across all years, absolute CO2 emissions continued to grow despite official claims of peaking, as Carbon Brief research shows. The revision timing coincides with China's 2035 commitment to cut net emissions by 7-10% from peak levels. Climate Action Tracker still rates China's trajectory as highly insufficient for Paris Agreement goals.

Business & Strategy

Codelco union threatens protests over bonus clawbacks

Sindicato Chuquicamata warned it will stage protests if management attempts to reclaim bonuses tied to overstated 2025 production targets at the world's largest copper producer. An internal audit found Codelco counted 26,875 tonnes of material as finished copper despite requiring further processing, representing 2% of total output and inflating incentive calculations, as mining industry reports detail. Eight executives have been disciplined, with one dismissed, and the board plans to file criminal complaints. The union dispute threatens operations at Chuquicamata division just as Codelco signed an MoU with Rio Tinto on joint investments. Past strikes at Codelco divisions have involved over 1,000 workers and halted production.

Policy & Regulation

India hosts Quad foreign ministers amid Hormuz tensions

India is hosting a preparatory Quad foreign ministers meeting with the US, Australia and Japan, with Strait of Hormuz security expected to dominate the agenda alongside China's regional assertiveness. The New Delhi meeting will shape the agenda for India's upcoming Quad leaders summit later this year, building on 2025 initiatives including a $30 million humanitarian response to Myanmar's earthquake and the Quad Critical Minerals Initiative, as State Department records confirm. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's participation signals US priority on coordinating energy security responses with key Indo-Pacific partners. The meeting positions India to bridge Middle East energy risks with broader Indo-Pacific supply chain resilience efforts.

Reeves orders ministers to buy British in four key sectors

Chancellor Rachel Reeves has written to cabinet ministers instructing them to favor UK firms in shipbuilding, steel, energy infrastructure and AI procurement, reclassifying these as critical for national security. The Treasury guidance enables departments to award contracts to domestic suppliers even where foreign competitors offer lower prices, as Morningstar reports. The move targets billions of pounds in public procurement across defense shipbuilding, infrastructure steel, grid assets and government AI systems. The policy tests WTO compliance boundaries while aiming to anchor more value chain activity domestically. Industry groups will watch whether the national security designation survives potential trade partner challenges.

Quick Hits

Fake review detection guides surge

Consumer guides on spotting fake five-star reviews have proliferated as regulators escalate enforcement, with estimates suggesting 10-30% of online reviews are manipulated.

Custard apple gains premium fruit following

Cherimoya, marketed as nature's ice cream, sells for $3.50-5 per pound in US specialty channels as growers target health-conscious consumers seeking exotic fruits.

Inside the full edition

  • Tech & AI · 2 stories
  • Markets & Economy · 3 stories
  • Business & Strategy · 1 story
  • Policy & Regulation · 2 stories
  • Quick Hits · 2 stories

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